Premier League

Arsenal’s title challenge: How may points do they need to WIN the Premier League?

Daily Mail Online

Arsenal currently hold a five-point lead at the top of the Premier League, with a crucial game in hand over nearest rival Manchester City

Mikel Arteta believes his burgeoning side – who will hit 100 points if their trajectory remains over 38 games – will likely need to accumulate over 90 to have a chance of winning their first Premier League title since Arsene Wenger‘s Invincibles in 2003/04.

Sportsmail takes a look at what factors will come into play as Arsenal look to continue on their current path, how many points it has previously taken to win the Premier League and how Arteta’s teams have fared during his tenure. 

Fresh off a 3-2 victory against rivals Manchester United, the Gunners are poised to win the title Fresh off a 3-2 victory against rivals Manchester United, the Gunners are poised to win the title

Fresh off a 3-2 victory against rivals Manchester United, the Gunners are poised to win the title

 

Who do Arsenal play in the run-in? 

Arsenal's only defeat this campaign came away from home against Man United in September Arsenal's only defeat this campaign came away from home against Man United in September

Arsenal’s only defeat this campaign came away from home against Man United in September

Arsenal’s remaining PL fixtures 

Everton (A) – Feb 4

Brentford (H) – Feb 11

Man City (H) - Feb 15

Aston Villa (A) - Feb 18

Leicester City (A) - Feb 25

Bournemouth (H) - Mar 4

Fulham (A) - Mar 11

Crystal Palace (H) - Mar 18

Leeds (H) – Apr 1

Liverpool (A) - Apr 8

West Ham (A) - Apr 15

Southampton (H) - Apr 22

Man City (A) - Apr 26

Chelsea (H) - Apr 29

Newcastle (A) – May 6

Brighton (H) - May 13

Nottingham Forest (A) - May 20

Wolves (H) - May 28

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Arsenal have already faced some stern tests away from home this season, including Manchester United, Tottenham and Chelsea. Yet, there are some sizable tests ahead. 

Mikel Arteta’s men must play Manchester City twice – on February 15 (H) and April 26 (A) – before some challenging away days. 

Anfield, the site of many hidings, awaits. A trip to what is sure to be a fired-up Goodison Park is Arsenal’s next match following the FA Cup break, before Newcastle host the Gunners in the first week of May. 

London foes Fulham and West Ham could look to spoil the party in the coming months too. 

April is shaping up to be the most pivotal of months for the Gunners with trips to Liverpool, West Ham and Manchester City.

Just three days following the all-important clash at the Etihad, Chelsea arrive at the Emirates.

If Arsenal are to get through the penultimate month, they could be on their way to glory.

May, Newcastle aside, looks to be rather favourable with Brighton (H), Nottingham Forest (A) and Wolves (H) to come in Arsenal’s final three games. 

With Tottenham and Manchester United out of the way, there is reason for optimism heading into the second half of the season. 

Having lost one game so far this season, there should be little rationale for fear of any kind, irrespective of the venue or club in which Arsenal face. 

 

Previous title-winning tallies 

The 90-point mark is widely thought of as being enough for Arsenal to secure the league this season, and rightly so. 

Historically, just 11 of the Premier League’s 30 title-winning teams have lifted the trophy with 90+ points.  Though in recent years, it has been a borderline necessity – just ask Jurgen Klopp and Liverpool. 

Manchester City, in a recent rarity, cruised to the 2020/21 title as Liverpool fell off a cliff, accruing 86 points with a final 12-point buffer over Manchester United.  

Since Leicester’s triumph in 2015/16, City’s 2020 team are the sole club to win without hitting the famed figure as five of the last six title-winners have accrued over 90 points. The five previous winning totals are 93, 86, 99, 98 and 100 respectively.  

Pep Guardiola and Manchester City are hunting their third successive title and fifth in six years Pep Guardiola and Manchester City are hunting their third successive title and fifth in six years

Pep Guardiola and Manchester City are hunting their third successive title and fifth in six years

 

How many points can Arsenal get?

In theory, Arsenal can achieve a maximum of 107 points in the 2022/23 Premier League season. 

That is, if they were to win all remaining 19 games. Such a tally would break the current points record, of 100, held by Manchester City. 

For Arsenal to equal City, the Gunners must maintain their record over the first 19 games of the campaign. So far, the North London club have won 16, drawn two and lost one. 

Arsenal celebrate their thrilling 3-2 win against Man United Arsenal celebrate their thrilling 3-2 win against Man United The Gunners have shown great resilience away from home this campaign The Gunners have shown great resilience away from home this campaign

Arsenal have shown great skill and fortitude both at home and away from the Emirates so far

Naturally, there is much excitement as to how and when Arsenal could pick up points throughout the second half of the season. Though, Mikel Arteta isn’t overly concerned with getting his calculator out. 

‘I don’t want to do too many calculations,…

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